
Conclusion
New technologies can alter a society's topography--culturally, politically,
even physically. The effects are not necessarily obvious at the outset, nor are
they necessarily intended by the technology's creators or users. A century ago,
the telephone eliminated many of the messengers who had previously shuttled
information among downtown businesses. Elevators became less crowded as a
result, which made taller buildings feasible. As AT&T's chief engineer
noted in 1908, Alexander Graham Bell was the father of the skyscraper.
For today's new information technologies, the unintended consequences may be
less benign than the skyscraper. Speakers at our conference touched on many
possible perils. Here are a few others:
- Democracy itself is essentially a model for collective decisionmaking.
Electronic democracy will speed the process, and it may enhance citizen
participation, but at what cost to effective governance? The flip side of
universal empowerment and real-time decisionmaking, one might argue, is mob
rule.
- If reliable software ultimately allows users to locate the data they need by
themselves, what happens to society's traditional packagers of information,
including journalists, librarians, and educators? And what may be the
consequences of the diminution of shared knowledge, especially if, as political
scientist Benjamin Barber has said, "who we are in common is what we see in
common?"
- Only a small portion of art, literature, and history will ever be digitized
and put online. Will the other material be forgotten? What of digitized
material that can be accessed only through software or hardware that is no
longer available--the eight-track tapes of tomorrow's electronic library? As
MIT computer scientist Joseph Weizenbaum has written, the networked computer
may become "an instrument for the destruction of history."
- Although the Internet reduces transaction costs for all sorts of
communications, the lowered costs may prove especially consequential for what
many people deem antisocial messages. Certainly the technology has not invented
hate speech, sadistic pornography, sexual and other forms of verbal harassment,
defamation, forgery, or threats of violence. But, by facilitating instant,
faceless, and potentially anonymous communications, it may be bolstering them.
How will these trends play out on the NII?
- Might the new technologies alter Americans' values? Religion historian
Martin E. Marty has suggested that media on demand are "designed to put you in
a solipsistic, narcissistic universe where you are God."
Such dystopian possibilities may prove as fanciful and groundless as the
utopian visions that dominate the current debate. No doubt the NII's ultimate
reality will fall somewhere between the two poles, a blend of benefits and
costs. Still, the potential downside deserves the clear-eyed consideration of
policymakers, corporate leaders, and citizens.



